Strategic intelligence on luxury brand systems, AI governance and market dynamics.
Published independently under Rafael Carlesso.
Reports are distributed to executives, financial analysts, institutional investors and media contacts covering the luxury sector.
Beyond the Legacy Houses
While legacy luxury houses face double-digit declines and widespread brand fatigue, a new generation of players is rewriting the rules. This report identifies and analyses 23 brands growing consistently above the industry average, many outpacing traditional houses by a factor of 3x to 10x. From Miu Miu's 84% peak-quarter growth to The Row's $1 billion valuation, the report maps the structural conditions behind the rise of emerging luxury and the implications for the broader definition of brand authority.
Kering Group & Gucci
This report examines the anatomy of a crisis: executive and creative leadership changes, the divestiture of strategic assets, and the high-stakes appointment of Demna Gvasalia as Gucci's new Artistic Director. It includes a critical analysis of the AI-generated teaser campaign for the Primavera show (Milan, February 2026), developing the argument that the fundamental question for luxury is not whether to use AI, but whether the governance exists to use it without destroying brand authority.
The Global Luxury Market Crisis
The global personal luxury goods market closed 2025 at an estimated €358 billion, down approximately 2% from 2024. Behind that number: the industry lost roughly 60 million active consumers since 2022. This report analyses the structural conditions driving that contraction across twelve dimensions. The central conclusion is that this is not a cyclical correction. It is a structural inflection point.