Strategic intelligence on luxury brand systems, AI governance and market dynamics.

Published independently under Rafael Carlesso.

Reports are distributed to executives, financial analysts, institutional investors and media contacts covering the luxury sector.

Intelligence Reports Rafael Carlesso Intelligence Reports Rafael Carlesso

Beyond the Legacy Houses

While legacy luxury houses face double-digit declines and widespread brand fatigue, a new generation of players is rewriting the rules. This report identifies and analyses 23 brands growing consistently above the industry average, many outpacing traditional houses by a factor of 3x to 10x. From Miu Miu's 84% peak-quarter growth to The Row's $1 billion valuation, the report maps the structural conditions behind the rise of emerging luxury and the implications for the broader definition of brand authority.

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Intelligence Reports Rafael Carlesso Intelligence Reports Rafael Carlesso

The Global Luxury Market Crisis

The global personal luxury goods market closed 2025 at an estimated €358 billion, down approximately 2% from 2024. Behind that number: the industry lost roughly 60 million active consumers since 2022. This report analyses the structural conditions driving that contraction across twelve dimensions. The central conclusion is that this is not a cyclical correction. It is a structural inflection point.

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