Why Jewellery Grew While Fashion Stalled

In the quarter to 30 June, one category grew at every group that reports it separately. It was not the category with the creative directors.

The divergence

Richemont's Jewellery Maisons, Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Buccellati and Vhernier, posted €4.73 billion in the three months to 30 June 2026, up 24% at constant rates. It was their seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, with gains across every maison, region and channel.

At LVMH, Watches and Jewellery grew 9% organically in the first half and 11% in the second quarter, while Fashion and Leather Goods fell 1%. At Kering, jewellery grew 18% on a comparable basis in the second quarter, while Gucci declined 2%.

Three groups, three different turnaround stories, one category moving the same way in all of them.

The materials explanation does not survive the numbers

The obvious objection is that this is not desire at all. Gold has been trading at or near record levels, and Richemont itself flagged elevated raw material costs in the same release. If the metal is appreciating, the argument runs, buyers are hedging rather than wanting.

The objection breaks inside Richemont's own accounts. Specialist Watchmakers, working in the same precious metals, for the same clients, through the same channels, grew 8%. Fashion and Accessories grew 9%. Only jewellery grew 24%. Whatever explains a 15-point gap between two divisions of one group buying gold from the same market, it is not the price of gold.

What jewellery never had to do

Fashion spent three decades attaching a house's argument to a person. Well over a dozen major houses changed designers across 2025 and 2026, and each change resets the argument the product is making. The customer who bought into the previous vision is not disloyal when he hesitates. He is waiting to find out what the house is now saying.

Jewellery never built that dependency. Cartier's Love bracelet was designed in 1969 and is still a growth driver in 2026. Nobody is waiting to see what Cartier means this season, because Cartier did not put its meaning in the hands of someone who can be replaced.

Seven consecutive quarters of double-digit growth is what a category looks like when its argument is not renegotiated every three years.

The purchase that does not ask you to be current

A handbag makes a claim about now. It says the buyer is reading the room correctly, and that claim expires when the room changes. A bracelet makes a claim about a relationship, an occasion or a person, and none of those are indexed to a season.

This matters more than usual in a market where customers rebuild their identities on cycles of three to five years. The object that survives the rearrangement is the one that was never tied to a moment. Jewellery is not outperforming because people have less money for fashion. It is outperforming because it is the only category in the portfolio that does not require the buyer to be up to date.

The strategic read

If the objective is growth that does not depend on the customer being current, the move is to build lines whose meaning renews without a person renewing it, and to stop treating the creative director as the only carrier of a house's argument.

The trade-off is real and rarely stated. The category that is growing is the one that converts worst. LVMH's Watches and Jewellery division ran at a 15.9% operating margin in the first half, against 34.1% in Fashion and Leather Goods. Every euro of jewellery growth arrives with roughly half the profit of a euro of fashion growth, and it arrives with a rising materials bill attached. A group that solves its growth problem with jewellery has not solved its margin problem. It has traded one for the other.

Fashion rented its meaning to people it then replaced. Jewellery owned its meaning outright, and the difference between the two positions was 24% against a decline this quarter.

Rafael Carlesso reads where desire is built or lost, and writes the strategy that builds it. Writing from Milan. Quoted twice by Reuters on LVMH.


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Rafael Carlesso

I write about luxury as a cultural and economic system: image, desire, pricing and perceived value before the numbers. Coverage includes LVMH, Kering, Richemont, Prada, Armani, Moncler, Brunello Cucinelli, Zegna and Dolce & Gabbana. Cited by Reuters on LVMH and aspirational pricing trust. Author of an SSRN paper on governing AI-generated imagery in luxury. Trained as an architect, with an MBA in marketing, branding and growth. Based in Milan.

https://www.rafaelcarlesso.com
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The Industry That Sells the Antidote to Itself